John Wade formulated, in 1826 and 1833, two models of cyclical fluctuations most likely to be the first in the literature. They are fully endogenous, based on a cobweb-like mechanism affecting not agricultural production, as was customary at the time, but manufacture. Wade's earlier model relies...

The influence of political developments on the evolution of economic thought is the main theme behind this book. As the authors reveal throughout the book, history has shown many times that political events can trigger the formulation of new economic conceptions that in turn influence the future...

In a paper read in 1848 before the Dublin Statistical Society, James Anthony Lawson propounded a theory of commercial crises based on a credit-overtrading-speculation mechanism. This view was quite widespread at the time, but it was couched in an original reinterpretation of the causal...

Tugan-Baranovsky's theory of crises has two components: a theory of markets, defining the condition under which expanded reproduction can take place, and a theory of crises proper, explaining how any rupture of equilibrium is amplified and extended to the whole system and gives rise to...

In 1926 Adolph Lowe pointed out that a system in a state of equilibrium is not capable of undergoing any change, and concluded that trade cycles cannot be explained within the framework of static analysis. Harrod seems to have become acquainted with this argument via Hayek's Monetary Theory and...