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This paper reviews the debt service ratio (DSR) as a theoretically well-grounded indicator of systemic risk. The DSR has the desirable feature that it fluctuates around a stable level which makes its early warning signals easy to understand and communicate. In contrast, current early warning...
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We introduce a discrete-time version of the dynamic yield curve model proposed by Diebold and Li (2006) which is based on Nelson and Siegel (1987). As in Christensen et al. (2010) we found an affine process that matches the model.
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