Twenty-five years ago, a team led by Nobel laureate Wassily Leontief applied the United Nations World Input-Output Model to make forecasts of world fuel and mineral resources for the year 2000 and beyond. Ira Sohn, a member of that team, reflects on his experience with this long-term forecasting...

For the first book (a look backward), Sohn reviews FrieedmanÕs Òhistorical overview of the pioneers of forecasting, of the economic environments in which they worked, and of tool sets and methodologies they used to generate their forecasts.Ó These fathers of forecasting include Roger Babson,...

Sohn reviews the National Intelligence CouncilÕs fifth quadrennial report, which Òprovides a framework to stimulate thinking about the rapid geopolitical and technological changes unfolding in the world today,Ó and their implications for the future. Copyright International Institute of...

Sohn reviews this recent publication. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2012

Foresight Long-Range Forecasting Editor Ira Sohn expands upon Paul Sabin?s recent book The Bet to describe ?the scholarly wager of the decade? and how it mirrored at the time a larger national debate between future-thinking optimists and pessimists. Copyright International Institute of...

Sohn comments on the “Global Trends” report, the fourth installment of the NIC’s “effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future and to stimulate strategic thinking about the future by identifying key trends, the factors that...

Joel Kotkin, a leading expert on urban and regional issues, speculates about the prospective demographic profile of the U.S. over the next four decades, focusing on the likely changes in American living patterns, with an emphasis on geographical trend. Copyright International Institute of...