Purpose – This article seeks to provide a theoretical framework for facilitating talent management decisions in the music industry. Design/methodology/approach – Strategic decision‐making theory and the resource‐based view of strategy are used to identify the talent‐selection process...

When and to what extent should forecasts rely on linear model or human judgment? The judgmental forecasting literature suggests that aggregating model and judge using a simple 50:50 split tends to outperform the two inputs alone. However, current research disregards the important role that the...

Der vorliegende Text fragt nach den Ursachen für den deutlichen Vertrauensverfall im Zuge des ostdeutschen Transformationsprozesses. Dazu wird zunächst unter Bezugnahme auf den Forschungsstand ein Instrumentarium zur Analyse der Kategorie Vertrauen entwickelt. Über die funktionalen Aspekte...

Behavioral Decision Analysis - Past, Present and Future -- Behavioral Decision Research: Descriptive and Prescriptive Perspectives -- Behavioral Biases in the Uncertainty Quantification Process -- Analyzing Decisions Under Uncertainty: Simple Tools Of the Heathens -- Should an Analyst Share...

This book highlights research on the behavioral biases affecting judgmental accuracy in judgmental forecasting and showcases the state-of-the-art in judgment-based predictive analytics. In recent years, technological advancements have made it possible to use predictive analytics to exploit...