promptly identifying turning points in inflation. The focus of this paper is the so-called "cost-of-living" index, the most … used measure of Italian inflation. Our aim is to identify and test a model of its seasonal component, which is important in …

issue is of particular interest for those monetary authorities that target headline consumer price inflation, which has been …

Between 2013 and 2014, following the recession triggered by the sovereign debt crisis, euro-area inflation decreased … sharply. Although a fall in the inflation rate was to be expected, given the severity of the recession, professional … inflation, which was unaccounted for in forecasting models. We probe this explanation in the context of a simple backward …

Since 2013 the inflation rate in the euro area has fallen steadily, reaching all-time lows at the end of 2014. Market …-based measures of inflation expectations (such as inflation swaps) have also declined to extremely low levels, which suggests … increasing concern about the credibility of the ECB in maintaining price stability. Inflation releases have often surprised …

The paper analyzes the short-run impact of periods of strong monetary growth on inflation dynamics for 15 …

level, after controlling for inflation expectations, and whether it is concentrated among those firms that are more exposed …

The empirical literature on the transmission of monetary policy to inflation in Italy has stressed the importance of … the exchange rate and, to some extent, of the demand channel; recently, the roles of inflation expectations and the fiscal … situation have been emphasized. This paper uses vector auto-regression to address this issue. The results suggest that inflation …

wage, unemployment and inflation. This is done by considering a two-stage strategic interaction between a central bank (CB …