Showing 1 - 10 of 108
regimes are sudden and sporadic. The Colombian economy remains in the sustainable growth regime most of the time. The turning … points from the Markov switching model capture very well the behavior of real output through time. In fact, they identify the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650575
regime model with both fixed (FTP) and time-varying transition probabilities (TVTP) to explain regime changes in the economic … rejected in favour of the time-varying transitional probabilities, meaning that the correct model is the one with endogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005274548
In the context of financial crises influenced by the development and burst of housing price bubbles, the detection of exuberant behaviors in the financial market and the implementation of early warning diagnosis tests are of vital importance. This paper applies the new method developed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906057
diarios y diferentes ventanas de tiempo para el evento, y estimamos los retornos usando tres modelos alternativos (CAPM, CAPM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010691445
Es una práctica muy difundida el multiplicar la desviación estándar por la raíz del tiempo para escalarla a otros plazos. Así, con base en la estimación de la desviación estándar o del VaR (Value at Risk) diario, es usual obtener la desviación estándar o el VaR para un periodo de diez...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459020
We estimate a non-parametrical Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and find strong evidence rejecting the classical … linear CAPM. Furthermore, we find inconsistent linear betas for a series of stocks in the Colombian stock exchange (BVC …), supporting the hypothesis of a better and consistent fitting of non-parametrical versions of the CAPM. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010543166
. However, the beta parameter of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is invariant to the holding period. Such contradiction … fixes the CAPM’s bias resulting from this abiding –but flawed- assumption. The proposed procedure is based on Greene and … Fielitz (1980) seminal work on the application of fractional Brownian motion to CAPM, and on a revised technique for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010568455
neutralidad del horizonte de tiempo en el CAPM, estimando el efecto cuantitativo de la existencia de dependencia de largo plazo en …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321791
This paper evaluates the fiscal sustainability hypothesis for eight Latin American countries, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Panama, Peru, Paraguay and Uruguay, during the period 1960 - 2009. Using second generation cointegration panel data models, we test whether Government revenues and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906068
known as the univariate time series ARIMA . This model is based on past inflation which is traditionally approximated by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906075