Showing 1 - 10 of 103
This paper surveys the empirical literature on the benefits of low inflation emphasizing contributions since 1990. It … at the costs of inflation, or the benefits of price stability, in the context of four themes: inflation creates … uncertainty about the future; there are costs of having to cope with inflation; inflation affects equity and fairness; and 'living …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673238
A vector error-correction Model (VECM) that Forecasts inflation between the current quarter and eight quarters ahead is … found to privide significant leading information about inflation. The model focusses on th effects of deviations of M1 from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673307
This paper examines the performance of M1 in an indicator model of inflation over time horizons as long as 16 quarters … the deviations of M1 from its long-run path provide "distant-early-warning" information about the future path of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005536886
The purpose ot this study is to test the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty increases at higher levels of inflation … conditional variance of the error term to be time-varying. Since this variance is a proxy for inflation uncertainty, a positive … relationship between the conditional variance and inflation would be interpreted as evidence that inflation uncertainty increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808350
inflation and output dynamics in the United States. In particular, I find that real money balance effects are quantitatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933293
2001-06 period, the direct effect of consumer goods imported from China is estimated to have reduced the inflation rate by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808266
) evidence suggests that flexibility in Europe has increased since the adoption of the Maastricht Treaty, and (iii) the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808278
Technological innovations in the financial industry pose major problems for the measurement of monetary aggregates. The authors describe work on a new measure of money that has a more satisfactory means of identifying and removing the effects of financial innovations. The new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808318
The authors address empirically the implications of structural breaks in the variance-covariance matrix of inflation …) framework as the response of domestic inflation to an impulse in import price inflation. This approach allows them to examine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808319