Showing 1 - 10 of 29
their ability to capture expected returns. We assess the forecasting performance of two popular approaches to estimating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011122772
This paper shows how and when it is possible to obtain a mapping from a quarterly dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to a monthly specification that maintains the same economic restrictions and has real coefficients. We use this technique to derive the monthly counterpart of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011070877
This paper reviews the main instruments and associated yield curves that can be used to measure financial market participants' expectations of future UK monetary policy rates. We attempt to evaluate these instruments and curves in terms of their ability to forecast policy rates over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004992448
This paper introduces the Bank of England's new forecasting platform and provides examples of how it can be applied to … practical forecasting problems. The platform consists of four components: COMPASS, a structural central organising model; a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086585
structural analysis, there is little evidence on their usefulness in forecasting UK output growth, inflation and the short … models in forecasting output growth, inflation and a short rate. We find that allowing for time-varying parameters can lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010704383
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001560454
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000371001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000056397