Showing 1 - 10 of 10
Mullainathan et al [Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2008] present a model of coarse thinking or analogy based thinking. The essential idea behind coarse thinking is that people put situations into categories and the values assigned to attributes in a given situation are affected by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619287
An anchoring adjusted currency option pricing formula is developed in which the risk of the underlying currency is used as a starting point which gets adjusted upwards to arrive at the currency call risk. Anchoring bias implies that such adjustments are insufficient. The new formula converges to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011250911
Market professionals with decades of experience typically argue that a call option is a surrogate for the underlying asset, indicating that they perceive the risk of a call option as similar to the risk of the underlying asset. Experimental evidence also points to the same conclusion. Such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196661
People tend to think by analogies and comparisons. Such way of thinking, termed coarse thinking by Mullainathan et al [Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2008] is intuitively very appealing. We develop a new option pricing model based on the idea that the market consists of coarse thinkers as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009132750
The principle of no arbitrage says that identical assets should offer the same returns. However, experimental and anecdotal evidence suggests that people often rely on analogy making while valuing assets. The principle of analogy making says that similar assets should offer the same returns. I...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109273
We put forward a new option pricing formula based on the notion that people tend to think by analogies and comparisons. The new formula differs from the Black Scholes formula due to the appearance of a parameter in the formula that captures the risk premium on the underlying. The new formula,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112350
People tend to think by analogies. We investigate whether thinking-by-analogy matters for investors’ willingness to pay for a risky asset in a laboratory experiment. We find that thinking-by-analogy has a strong influence when the assets in question have similar (but not identical) payoffs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636541
People think by analogies and comparisons. Such way of thinking, termed coarse thinking by Mullainathan et al [Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2008] is intuitively very appealing. We derive a new option pricing formula based on the assumption that the market consists of coarse thinkers as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530709
Mullainathan et al [Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2008] present a formalization of the concept of coarse thinking in the context of a model of persuasion. The essential idea behind coarse thinking is that people put situations into categories and the values assigned to attributes in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008541492
Here, we show that agents who are ex ante rational, if allowed to interact locally, may generate clustering of volatility. Hence, there is no need to reject the notion of rationality in agent based models.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260132