In order to provide medium run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for the euro area, we assess the … indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if … in inflation in a timely manner. But, from that point of view, the construction of a ''synthetic core'' indicator helps …

and its contribution to inflation movements. We model the price series as I(2) components and use polynomial cointegration … inflation through an error-correcting mechanism. Structural and forecasting equations exhibiting good performance are therefore …

We study the behavior of inflation rates among the 12 initial Euro countries in order to test whether and when the … this new procedure to Euro area inflation, we find strong and lasting evidence of convergence among the inflation rates … the occurrence of the single currency. After the 2008 crisis, Euro area inflation rates follow the ECB’s price stability …

consolidation programs combined with inflation are likely to increase inequality and the effects of fiscal adjustments on inequality …

sizeable contractions in output, increases in unemployment, and declines in inflation across the euro area. …