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In this paper, we try to illustrate the interest of the Bayesian approach for the evaluation of economic policies, often realised by analysing the response of the economy to a standard shock. We present a Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium model for the euro area. The Bayesian estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034721
potential output growth and the attendant and partly temporary slowdown in inflation. Assessing the NE is however a complicated … long-run perspective, the central bank could capitalise on the NE to set lower inflation targets. In the short to medium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056529
Monetary union can benefit countries suffering from policy credibility problems if it eliminates the inflation bias and … union may be welfare improving even for low-modest levels of inflation bias (2-3%) as long as business cycles are not too a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764497
The decline in the sensitivity of inflation to domestic slack observed in developed countries over the last 25 years … also the bigger ones) enter the export market. They tend to transmit less marginal cost fluctuations into inflation because … the proportion of large firms reduces the pass-through of marginal cost into inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196011
monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004
sales; (iv) price changes related to sales and product replacements are less driven by inflation variations than regular … price changes; (v) the monthly inflation rate is correlated to the frequencies of price decreases and increases. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816022
This paper studies firms' price-setting decision during a currency changeover. Buyers' difficulties with the new nominal price level create incentives to raise prices temporarily but doing so comes at the risk of damaging a seller's reputation in the long run. We model firms' trade-off and study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010534896
Dans ce papier, nous comparons quatre indicateurs de l'inflation sous-jacente: l'approche par exclusion de postes, les … estimateurs "a influence limitee" comme l'inflation mediane, les mesures issues d'un VAR structurel et une mesure tiree d …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036181
'une faible inflation (2%) à une inflation nulle pour les économies française, allemande, britannique, espagnole et américaine … l'indexation imparfaite du système fiscal. Des études récentes ont montré qu'un passage d'une inflation de 2% à la …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036197
We examine the effect of the minimum wage on restaurant prices. For that purpose, we estimate a price rigidity model by exploiting a unique dataset of individual price quotes used to calculate the Consumer Price Index in France. We find a positive and significant impact of the minimum wage on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036214