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expectations is time-inconsistent. This, it is argued, undermines the credibility of the optimal policy in the eyes of the private … inconsistency problem. They assume that policy-makers suffer a loss of reputation if they renege on earlier commitments. With this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666643
control theory can be made applicable to economic planning even when expectations are rational (pace Kydland and Prescott …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504552
The effect of asymmetric information on monetary policy is investigated in the context of an overlapping wage contract model. Optimal rules with and without precommitment under full information are compared with the optimal rule without precommitment (i.e. the discretionary rule) under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656263
. In the absence of a reputation for precommitment the optimal policy will lack credibility and the policy-maker must be … to maintain reputation may be sufficient to sustain the optimal, but time-inconsistent, policy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666971
We test for evidence that US trade policy depends on the degree of government discretion. We do this by studying US tariff choices under two distinct environments. One is that of tariffs set under the Escape Clause (section 201 of the US Trade Act of 1974). The other is the Tokyo Round of GATT...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791964
In several recent papers macroeconomic policy has been modelled in the context of a game of incomplete information. A central result of the work by Backus and Driffill and by Barro is that the uncertainty may provide an incentive for the government to maintain a socially efficient policy of zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504603
We define and study transparency, credibility and reputation in a model where the central bank’s characteristics are … unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more … inflationary policy than a high-credibility bank, in the sense that it induces higher inflation, but a less expansionary policy, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788947
The paper investigates the sustainability of cooperative rules for the conduct of macroeconomic policy in a two-country world. The problem is set out as a supergame in which the threat strategy is to switch to a Nash non-cooperative equilibrium. A number of possible non-cooperative equilibria...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281334
credibility as a commitment device. But the contract’s strength is that renegotiation can be very visible and this facilitates a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124190
We examine the role of non-economic partnerships in promoting international economic exchange. Since far-sighted countries are more willing to join costly international partnerships such as environmental treaties, environmental engagement tends to encourage international lending. Countries with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666580