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examining the relationship between inflation and unemployment, which sheds light on these developments. The theoretical section … separately, including Phillips curve `level effects', hysteresis `change effects', the error-correction mechanism, and the role … identical estimates of the Phillips curve slope, of the hysteresis effect, and of the NAIRU. The two countries also share …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661839
shifts in the parameters of wage equations when the process generating price inflation changes. The two major shifts that we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661752
model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667015
We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking … measures of marginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791238
inflation and a permanent reduction in the level of unemployment. In short, we derive a microfounded long-run downward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791529
This paper estimates the NAIRU (standing for the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment) as a parameter that … varies over time. The NAIRU is the unemployment rate that is consistent with a constant rate of inflation. Its value is … determined in an econometric model in which the inflation rate depends on its own past values (‘inertia’), demand shocks proxied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123935
Spanish manufacturing firms, the paper finds sunk costs hysteresis in entry and exit to be an important factor in determining … much larger than the costs of exiting the market. Finally, although hysteresis exists, its effect on the responsiveness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504782
This paper presents an empirical examination of the importance of hysteresis in international trade. An econometric … model of export determination is developed where the presence of sunk costs causes discontinuous behaviour and hysteresis so … States. The paper finds strong evidence in favour of the presence of pricing-to-market and hysteresis only in the case of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497929
This paper fully characterizes the optimal control of a recurrent infectious disease through the use of (non-vaccine) prevention and treatment. The dynamic system may admit multiple steady states and the optimal policy may be path dependent. We find that an optimal path cannot end at a point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083552
This paper provides a model of "social hysteresis," whereby long, deep recessions demotivate workers and thereby lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084645