Showing 1 - 10 of 179
This paper introduces a new indicator of core inflation for New Zealand, estimated using a dynamic factor model and … core indicator with a wide range of other ‘core inflation’ measures estimated from disaggregate consumer prices, such as … the weighted median and the trimmed mean. The medium term inflation target of Reserve Bank of New Zealand is used as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656226
In this paper we argue that measured (RPI) inflation is conceptually mismatched with core inflation: the difference is … more than just `measurement error'. We propose a technique for measuring core inflation based on an explicit long …-run economic hypothesis. Core inflation is defined as that component of measured inflation that has no (medium- to) long-run impact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662040
This Paper proposes an index of core inflation for the euro area which exploits information from a large panel of time … component of national inflation and disregarding the idiosyncratic one, we clean inflation from measurement error, discrepancies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792223
The standard regression approach to modeling return predictability seems too restrictive in one way but too lax in another. A predictive regression models expected returns as an exact linear function of a given set of predictors but does not exploit the likely economic property that innovations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124082
We use annual data drawn from 1950-85 to estimate an econometric model of the money multiplier for the United Kingdom. We define the money multiplier as ratio of the money stock broadly defined (M3) and the monetary base (M0), and then decompose the multiplier into the currency ratio, the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497753
This paper gives money a role in providing cheap collateral in a model of banking; this means that, besides the Taylor Rule, monetary policy can affect the risk-premium on bank lending to firms by varying the supply of M0 in open market operations, so that even when the zero bound prevails...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084208
The New-Keynesian Taylor-Rule model of inflation determination with no role for money is incomplete. As Cochrane (2007a … invoked if inflation misbehaved. Thus we answer the criticisms levelled at the Taylor Rule that it has no credible mechanism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466336
We develop a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504785
This paper applies recent cointegration techniques to analyse whether the forward market for the peseta/US dollar is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497906
Starting from the dynamic factor model for non-stationary data we derive the factor-augmented error correction model (FECM) and, by generalizing the Granger representation theorem, its moving-average representation. The latter is used for the identification of structural shocks and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083358