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We analyze credit default swap settlement auctions theoretically and evaluate them empirically. In our theoretical analysis, we show that the current auction design may not result in the fair bond price and suggest modifications to the auction design to minimize mispricing. In our empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144729
This Paper proposes a vector equilibrium correction model of stock returns that exploits the information in the futures market, while allowing for both regime-switching behaviour and international spillovers across stock market indices. Using data for three major stock market indices since 1989,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114365
Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the … underlying asset’s return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time, and develop the deterministic volatility … 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498195
We study the effect of introducing a new security, such as a non-redundant derivative, on the volatility of stock … increases the volatility of stock-market returns. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114422
? Can stock return predictability be explained by changes in stock market volatility? How does the mean return per unit risk … predictor of both the mean and volatility of excess stock market returns. We characterize the risk-return tradeoff as the … negatively linked to variation in market volatility, at odds with leading asset pricing models. Since the conditional volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498159
We use a panel of more than 100,000 investor accounts in US stocks over the period 1991-95 to construct an investor-based measure of dispersion of opinion, unlike the analyst based measure used in the literature. We use this measure to test two competing hypotheses: the sidelined investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067367
commensurate with their risk aversion; more risk-averse individuals pick lower-volatility stocks. The investors' portfolio … consistent with the predictions of the hypothesis: the portfolios contain highly similar stocks in terms of volatility, when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067451
This paper studies three different measures of monthly stock market volatility: the time-series volatility of daily … market returns within the month; the cross-sectional volatility or ‘dispersion’ of daily returns on industry portfolios …, within the month. Over the period 1962–95 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662245
implications about the expected relationship between the preponderance of disposition investors in the market and stock volatility … fraction of ‘irrational’ investor trades in a stock increases, stock volatility, return and trading volume decrease. We further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791546
According to the favorite-longshot bias observed in pari-mutuel betting, the final distribution of bets overestimates the winning chance of longshots. This Paper proposes an explanation of this bias based on late betting by small privately informed bettors. These bettors have an incentive to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504377