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We explore the international spillovers from fiscal policy shocks via trade in Europe. A fiscal expansion stimulates domestic activity, which leads to more foreign exports and, hence, higher foreign output. To quantify this, we combine a panel VAR model in government spending, net taxes and GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114249
We analyse the effect of trade spillovers and of international coordination on currency crises. To do this, we present … and the larger the set of multiple equilibria. Coordination decreases the possibility of simultaneous self …-fulfilling speculative crises in the region and reduces the set of multiple equilibria. However, regional coordination, even though welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124321
Sovereign risk premia in several euro area countries have risen markedly since 2008, driving up credit spreads in the private sector as well. We propose a New Keynesian model of a two-region monetary union that accounts for this "sovereign risk channel." The model is calibrated to the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084472
restricted to E(M)U members. Poor communication, cooperation and coordination between the fiscal and monetary authorities can be … communication, cooperation or coordination. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662197
This paper develops a welfare-based model of monetary policy in an open economy. We focus on the extent to which monetary policy should be employed in maintaining the exchange rate. The traditional approach maintains that exchange rate flexibility is desirable in the presence of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504222
We examine proposals to introduce in the European Community national insurance against unevenly distributed shocks. This would operate differently from tax and government spending activities that now yield regional insurance within countries, since the latter are mainly designed for other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498081
This paper revisits the paper 'Excessive deficits: sense and nonsense in the Treaty of Maastricht', co-authored with Giancarlo Corsetti and Nouriel Roubini and published during 2003 in Economic Policy. The first section of the paper addresses the problem that the exchange rate and inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498135
We provide a theory of the determination of exchange rates based on capital flows in imperfect financial markets. Capital flows drive exchange rates by altering the balance sheets of financiers that bear the risks resulting from international imbalances in the demand for financial assets. Such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083240
We provide an overview of the recent developments of the literature on the determinants of long term capital flows, global imbalances and valuation effects. We present the main stylized facts of the new international financial landscape in which external balance sheets of countries have grown in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083349
In contrast to the notion that the exchange-rate regime is non-neutral, there is little evidence that EMU has systematically changed the European business cycle. In fact, we find the volatility of macroeconomic variables largely unchanged before and after the introduction of the euro. Exceptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084347