Showing 1 - 10 of 76
averse to risk and ambiguity. The evidence is largely correlational, however, leaving open the question of the direction of … causality. In this paper, we present experimental evidence of causation running from reliance on intuition to risk and ambiguity … lowers the probability of being ambiguity averse by 30 percentage points and increases risk tolerance by about 30 percent in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083555
This paper develops a micro-founded general equilibrium model of the financial system composed of ultimate borrowers, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood of governmental bailouts on leverage, interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737
asset returns. Our contribution is to develop a framework that allows for ambiguity about the joint distribution of returns … for all stocks being considered for the portfolio, and also for different levels of ambiguity for the marginal … international equity returns. The calibration shows that when the overall ambiguity about the joint distribution of returns is high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504745
In this paper, we show how an investor can incorporate uncertainty about expected returns when choosing a mean-variance optimal portfolio. In contrast to the Bayesian approach to estimation error, where there is only a single prior and the investor is neutral to uncertainty, we consider the case...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791415
In this paper, we show how an investor can incorporate uncertainty about expected returns when choosing a mean-variance optimal portfolio. In contrast to the Bayesian approach to estimation error, where there is only a single prior and the investor is neutral to uncertainty, we consider the case...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124485
assets - and Markowitz - who advocates diversification across assets. We rely on the concepts of ambiguity and ambiguity … degree of ambiguity across assets, and (ii) the standard deviation of the estimate of expected return on each asset. If the … standard deviation of the expected return estimate and the difference between the ambiguity about familiar and unfamiliar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468537
We endogenize the market risk (at given technical risk) in firms’ R&D decisions by introducing stochastic R&D in the Hotelling model. It is shown that if the technical risk is sufficiently high, the market risk remains low even if firms pursue similar projects. This leads firms to focus on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504272
The empirical performance of macroeconomic exchange rate models is more than disappointing. This dismal result is also reflected in the forecasting capabilities of professional analysts: all in all, analysts are not in a position to beat naïve random walk forecasts. The root for this deficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504428
In this paper, we investigate the role of young adult mortality on child labour and educational decisions. We argue that mortality risks are a major source of risks in returns to education in developing countries. We show that, in the absence of appropriate insurance mechanisms, the level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498071
The experimental literature has documented that there is overbidding in second-price auctions, regardless of bidders' valuations. In contrast, in first-price auctions there tends to be overbidding for large valuations, but underbidding for small valuations. We show that the experimental evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498113