Firms expect certain investment expenditures. Firms realize certain investment expenditures. The difference is an investment surprise. With the help of the IFO Investment Survey for the German manufacturing sector we measure firms’ (quantitative) investment expectations and firms’...

This paper proposes a model of endogenous growth with diversifiable uncertainty, irreversible investment decisions and imperfect labour mobility. Obstacles to labour reallocation lower the operating profits earned by existing firms and increase the cost of creating new ones, thus reducing...