Showing 1 - 10 of 1,191
significant increase in synchronization of GDP and its major components within EMU. This lends support to the argument of OCA … diminished in the EMU members. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792241
accession and during the period following EU accession but prior to EMU membership. We conclude that from an economic point of … view, EMU membership should be as early as possible, preferably at the same time as EU membership. The prevailing … interpretation of the exchange rate criterion for EMU membership is that it requires two years of successful membership in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661669
In contrast to the notion that the exchange-rate regime is non-neutral, there is little evidence that EMU has … EMU on standard business cycles statistics. However, further analysis reveals that the euro has changed the nature of the … shocks relatively less important in accounting for economic fluctuations under EMU. This explains why there is little change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084347
and adjustment commitments, and the possible role that EMU may play. Clearly, monetary commitment alone cannot accomplish … conditionality that might be welfare-improving for transition economies hoping to accede to EMU. The analysis also highlights the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791822
The paper uses long-run GDP data for developed countries drawn from Maddison (2003) to generate deviation cycles for the period from 1870 to 2001. The cyclical deviates are examined for their bilateral cross-correlation values in three separate periods, those of the first globalization wave...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792022
I use monthly data on industrial production to estimate the distribution of international business cycle correlations since the 1980's, with focus on the current turmoil. The degree of international correlation in national business cycles since the end of 2008 is unprecedented in three decades....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008607504
The European crisis is partly attributable to the sharp increase in external imbalances across Europe during the pre-crisis period. We examine current account imbalances in Europe over 1995-2007, together with the underlying saving and investment rates (and their subcomponents). We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084124
-2001 had an important impact on inflation divergence within the EMU and in particular the surge in Ireland’s inflation to over … November of 2003. Regression analysis on quarterly inflation data across EMU members 1999.1-2004.1 confirms the importance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789034
exchange rate movements and the relative output movements of potential members of a European Monetary Union (EMU). We find that … results make it hard to argue that the loss of exchange rate flexibility accompanying EMU would come at a significant cost to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124317
This Paper contributes ideas and analysis to the ongoing EU reform debate. It consists of three distinct parts: voting in the Council of Ministers, restructuring the ECB's Governing Council, and the setting of enlargement “examination” dates. The IGC currently focuses on Council voting,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504315