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does not need a high liquidity reserve, but as conditions deteriorate, it will target higher reserve. In very poor … conditions, the firm will declare bankruptcy, usually after it has depleted its liquidity reserve. Our model can predict … liquidity holdings, leverage ratios, yield spreads, expected default probabilities, expected loss given default and equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123584
banks to have private information about the risk of their assets. We show how banks' asset risk affects funding liquidity in … state with adverse selection and elevated rates; and iii) market breakdown with liquidity hoarding. We provide an … of unsecured rates and excess reserves banks hold, as well as the inability of massive liquidity injections by central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530367
According to the favorite-longshot bias observed in pari-mutuel betting, the final distribution of bets overestimates the winning chance of longshots. This Paper proposes an explanation of this bias based on late betting by small privately informed bettors. These bettors have an incentive to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504377
This paper analyses the incentives of the equityholders of a leveraged company to shut it down in a continuous time, stochastic environment. Keeping the firm as an ongoing concern has an option value but equity and debt holders value it differently. Equity holders' decisions exhibit excessive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504424
This paper is a selective survey of new or recent methods to extract information about market expectations from asset prices for monetary policy purposes. Traditionally, interest rates and forward exchange rates have been used to extract expected means of future interest rates, exchange rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504605
This paper proposes a panel data framework for tests of affine models of the term structure of interest rates which cover equilibrium (or endogenous) models as well as extended (or exogenous, evolutionary) models. The econometric model pools yield curve data for different moments in time. Since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498193
Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option’s exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behaviour to the fact that the Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498195
We examine the pricing of financial crash insurance during the 2007-2009 financial crisis in U.S. option markets. A large amount of aggregate tail risk is missing from the price of financial sector crash insurance during the financial crisis. The difference in costs of out-of-the-money put...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083289
. Our global carry factor across markets delivers strong average returns and, while it is exposed to recession, liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083673
We investigate the predictive information content in foreign exchange volatility risk premia for exchange rate returns. The volatility risk premium is the difference between realized volatility and a model-free measure of expected volatility that is derived from currency options, and reflects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084715