Showing 1 - 10 of 101
Firms in many developing countries cite macroeconomic instability and political uncertainty as major constraints to … their growth. Economic theory suggests uncertainty can cause firms to delay investments until uncertainty is resolved. We … macroeconomic and political uncertainty. Demand for macroeconomic shock insurance was high; 36.7 percent of microentrepreneurs in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084029
between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler maxmin with multiple priors framework to lenders …, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood … include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737
Tests for long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) may lack power with sample periods corresponding to the span of the recent float, leading researchers to use more powerful multivariate unit root tests. We point out a potential problem with such tests: joint non-stationarity of real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791733
The drift-adjustment method estimates the expected rate of depreciation within an exchange rate band by simple equations. Papers applying this method claim that, while forecasting a freely floating currency is hopeless, predicting an exchange rate within the future band is successful. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791773
central result of the work by Backus and Driffill and by Barro is that the uncertainty may provide an incentive for the … in two ways. First, it considers a model in which the uncertainty about the government's preferences is somewhat more … exactly the policy measures taken by the government. The analysis of the more general model of uncertainty about preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504603
In this Paper we develop a model of intertemporal portfolio choice where an investor accounts explicitly for the possibility of model misspecification. This work is motivated by the difficulty in estimating precisely the probability law for asset returns. Our contribution is to develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504745
develop a model that incorporates central features of Knickerbocker's story-oligopoly, uncertainty, and risk aversion …-to establish the conditions required to generate follow-the-leader behaviour. We find that rival foreign investment will make risk …-neutral firms less inclined to move abroad once its rivals have done so. We show that the Knickerbocker prediction relies on risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497737
inventions. We find that uncertainty about the profitability of investing in new inventions generates a basis for intermediation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498006
uncertainty, deterring potential trainees, or labour market imperfections that create external benefits for firms. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498076
King-Fullerton methodology cannot assess the minimum-asset tax (MAT) because it cannot handle uncertainty. We present … an alternative based on option pricing, and show how carry-over rules, depreciation conventions and uncertainty affect …, the MAT does not reduce sectoral distortions; and (b) while high variance raises the MAT burden, high risk firms are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498170