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The use of forward interest rates as a monetary policy indicator is demonstrated, using Sweden between 1992 and 1994 as an example. The forward rates are interpreted as indicating market expectations of the time-path of future interest rates, future inflation rates, and future currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123801
Historical estimates of the Fisher effect and the informational content in the yield curve may not be relevant after a change in monetary policy. This paper uses a small dynamic rational expectations model with staggered price setting to study how central bank preferences (and thereby monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497757
A simple test of inflation target credibility is constructed by subtracting the maximum and minimum inflation rates …, fall outside the range of target-consistent real yields, credibility is rejected. Two concepts of credibility, called … absolute credibility and credibility in expectation, are distinguished. The credibility of inflation targets of Canada, New …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661572
-commitment. Coordination can be futile, since it exacerbates the lack of credibility perceived by the private sectors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504714
this question appropriately, one must consider that EMS membership brings potentially large credibility gains to policy … inefficiency stemming from the public's mistrust for the authorities. We study the conditions under which these credibility gains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791653
incentive constraints on the policy-making process, such as lack of credibility, political opportunism, political ideology, and …, and focuses on credibility, political business cycles, and optimal design of monetary institutions. Part II deals with … fiscal policy in a dynamic general equilibrium set up; the main topics covered in this section are credibility of tax policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498016
In this paper we analyse how the creation of a single currency regime changes the strategic relationship between policy-makers, both within and across countries. In particular we look at the role of cross-country externalities and lack of commitment. When labour taxation is excessive, due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136411
the credibility that financial markets attach to monetary policy in the euro area. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067658
It has been argued that delegation of monetary policy to an independent central bank, which acts as an agent for the government, does not mitigate the problem of time-inconsistency, but merely relocates it. We argue here that this is not so, and that delegation enables a wider class of economies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656362
game. We introduce a `chisel-proof' credibility condition which ensures that in response to a small deviation from the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656437