Showing 1 - 10 of 12
This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083665
This paper proposes a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which the government-consumption multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083889
We report estimates of the fiscal multiplier for interwar Britain based on quarterly data and time-series econometrics …. We find that the government-expenditure multiplier was in the range 0.3 to 0.9 even during the period when interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084469
Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modeling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004961429
We estimate the multiplier relying on differences in spending in infrastructure across Italian provinces and an …-mafia measures on output, our results suggest a multiplier as high as 1.4 on impact, and 2 including dynamic effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008925709
This article provides a review of recent literature in economics on the effect of mass media on politics. The focus is on the welfare effects of mass media. I also discuss the likely implications of existing behavioral theories of media effects, developed outside of economics.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168894
in three areas. First, we use identical twins, to control for family effects and genetic ability bias, and the education … findings suggest lower ability bias in within-twin pair regressions than pooled regressions. Third, using data on twins smoking … we show smoking reflects family background and using it as an instrument exacerbates ability bias. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662039
distribution of VAR impulse response estimators is undermined by the estimator’s bias. A natural conjecture is that impulse … estimators tend to have both higher bias and higher variance, resulting in pointwise impulse response confidence intervals that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666791
choices are private information. It is optimal for the organization to `bias' the second contest in favor of the early winner …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667058
We study the effects of unequal representation in the interest-group system on the degree of information transmission between a lobbyist and a policy-maker. Employing a dynamic cheap-talk model in which the lobbyist cares instrumentally about his reputation for truth telling, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792547