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debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries’ fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the … spreads during the crisis, not only for euro area countries but globally. By contrast, regional spillovers and contagion have … been less important, including for euro area countries. The paper also finds evidence for herding contagion – sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084109
Recent episodes (October 2008, May 2010, August 2011) have witnessed huge spikes in equity price risk (implied volatility). Apart from their large size, several features characterize these risk panics. They are global phenomena, shared among a broad set of countries. There is substantial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084461
stock market. We conduct our analysis by explicitly considering the distinction between interdependence and contagion. By … equilibrium for US shares? Is there short-term interdependence and contagion between US and European stock markets, i.e. do short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067572
This Paper develops a test of contagion in financial markets based on bivariate correlation analysis, which generalizes … existing tests, and applies it to the international effects of the Hong Kong stock market crisis of October 1997. Contagion is … country-specific shocks in Hong Kong, our test finds evidence of contagion for 5 countries out of a sample of 17. This is in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791976
Testing the hypothesis that international equity market correlation increases in volatile times is a difficult exercise and misleading results have often been reported in the past because of a spurious relationship between correlation and volatility. This paper focuses on extreme correlation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504611
Diversification opportunities in Euroland appear to have improved significantly since the advent of the euro, thus invalidating the prospects identified in the last years of the convergence-to-EMU period. We identify low frequency movements in the time series of return dispersions suggestive of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504636
We show that international consumption risk sharing is significantly improved by capital flows, especially portfolio investment. Concomitantly, we show that poor institutions hamper risk sharing, but to an extent that decreases with openness. In particular, risk sharing is prevalent even among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497814
It is well understood that investment serves as a shock absorber at the time of crisis. The duration of the drag on investment, however, is perplexing. For the nine Asian economies we focus on in this study, average investment/GDP is about 6 percentage points lower during 1998-2012 than its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083567
Any security’s expected return can be decomposed into its “carry” and its expected price appreciation, where carry is a model-free characteristic that can be observed in advance. While carry has been studied almost exclusively for currencies, we find that carry predicts returns both in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083673
The paper analyzes the effects of changes to regulatory policy and to monetary policy on cross-border bank lending since the global financial crisis. Cross-border bank lending has decreased, and the home bias in the credit portfolio of banks has risen sharply, especially among banks in the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145418