The volatile data for inflation, output, and interest rates in the United Kingdom prior to the 1990s, and the relative … macroeconomic stability associated with inflation targeting, provide a rich basis for discriminating between rival explanations for … inflation determination, estimated on quarterly UK data for 1959–2000. Our model features IS and Phillips curves based on …

inflation and growth. A genuine real-time data set for the euro area is used, including vintages of several alternative gap … clearly to a lack of any usefulness of real-time output gap estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one …

The New-Keynesian Taylor-Rule model of inflation determination with no role for money is incomplete. As Cochrane (2007a … invoked if inflation misbehaved. Thus we answer the criticisms levelled at the Taylor Rule that it has no credible mechanism …

at containing inflation and the deviation of output from potential within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools … this loss function under weak assumptions may be estimated from realizations for inflation and output gap data even in the … parameters with respect to the inflation and output objectives during the Greenspan period. We formally test for and reject the …

inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation … increased, we find that, as of September 2002, with the exception of Japan, there is no evidence of substantial deflation risks …. We also put the estimates of deflation risk for the United States, Germany and Japan into historical perspective. We find …

nominal and real wage rigidity) and social preferences regarding inflation, employment, and real wages. We also calibrate our …