ongoing, inflation uncertainty seems to play a large role. Finally, while modern finance theory prices bonds and other assets …

episode price-setting firms' expect inflation to be highly persistent and opt for backward-looking indexation. As the central … that choose the rate for indexation also re-assess the likelihood that announced inflation targets determine steady …-state inflation and adjust indexation of contracts accordingly. A strategy of announcing and pursuing short-term targets for inflation …

application to forecasts of the Swedish inflation rate where forecast combination using the predictive likelihood outperforms …

how central bank preferences (and thereby monetary policy) affect the relation between nominal interest rates, inflation … estimated by maximum likelihood on quarterly US data. The policy experiments include stronger inflation targeting, more active …

central bank reputation and transparency. Monetary policy alternates between periods of active inflation stabilization and … periods during which the emphasis on inflation stabilization is reduced. When the central bank engages in only short … deviations from active monetary policy, inflation expectations remain anchored and the model captures the monetary approach …

inflation and real interest rates in Germany, using monthly data from the first quarter of 1967. The central results are two …-fold. First, the interest rate spreads considered contain considerable information about future changes in inflation, but no …- and two-year rates, for instance) appears to be the most informative for future inflation. These results are similar to …

Survey data on household expectations of inflation are routinely used in economic analysis, yet it is not clear to what … recovering households' implicit expectations of inflation from their consumption expenditures. We show that these implicit … expectations have predictive power for CPI inflation. They are better predictors of CPI inflation than survey responses, except for …

Forward interest rates have become popular indicators of inflation expectations. The usefulness of this indicator … depends on the relative volatility and the correlation of inflation expectations and expected real interest rates. This paper … expected real interest rate add to the inflation expectations is balanced by a tendency for expected real interest rates and …