Showing 1 - 10 of 86
volatility. This paper focuses on extreme correlation, that is to say the correlation between returns in either the negative or … not for the positive tail. We also find that correlation is not related to market volatility per se but to the market …Testing the hypothesis that international equity market correlation increases in volatile times is a difficult exercise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504611
This article presents an application of extreme value theory to compute the value at risk of a market position. In … maximum) over a given time-period. Extreme value theory gives some interesting results about the distribution of extreme … extreme value theory is used to compute the VaR of a fully-aggregated position while multivariate extreme value theory is used …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662233
successful Religious-Right alliance with the religious poor and start blocking belief-eroding discoveries and ideas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262883
We consider a general class of nonlinear optimal policy problems involving forward-looking constraints (such as the Euler equations that are typically present as structural equations in DSGE models), and show that it is possible, under regularity conditions that are straightforward to check, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791608
We present a simple model of systemic risk and we show that each financial institution's contribution to systemic risk can be measured as its systemic expected shortfall (SES), i.e., its propensity to be undercapitalized when the system as a whole is undercapitalized. SES increases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084350
In many economic applications involving comparisons of multivariate distributions, supermodularity of an objective function is a natural property for capturing a preference for greater interdependence. One multivariate distribution dominates another according to the `supermodular stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083601
derive empirical predictions for the direction of correlation and for whether governance is stronger or weaker with multiple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084086
correlation estimates are directly applicable to portfolio optimization and to risk management techniques in general. This simple …A number of studies have provided evidence of increased correlation in global financial market returns during bear … implied correlation based on portfolio downside risk measures that does not suffer from this bias. These unbiased quantile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124110
This paper reexamines U.S. business cycle volatility since 1867. We employ dynamic factor analysis as an alternative to … reconstructed national accounts. We find a remarkable volatility increase across World War I, which is reversed after World War II …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504432
We use portfolio theory to quantify the efficiency of state-level sectoral patterns of production in the United States … volatility of state output growth, rather than in its average. The realized industry shares of output also converge faster to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504526