Showing 1 - 10 of 106
reveal that higher margins have a much stronger negative relation to subsequent volatility in bull markets than in bear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123642
leverage of the financial sector is two and a half times that of the goods-producers in the BGG model. This causes a much more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322500
This paper explores the link between the leverage of the US financial sector, of households and of non …-financial businesses, and real activity. We document that leverage is negatively correlated with the future growth of real activity, and … positively linked to the conditional volatility of future real activity and of equity returns. The joint information in sectoral …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915810
This Paper provides a sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in monotone pure strategies … response correspondence is a contraction mapping. This ensures equilibrium existence and uniqueness. Our approach allows us to … establish these results in a wide range of applications, including cases where there are no existing existence results. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114177
In the absence of a major disruption in spending by consumers and firms, the effects of energy price shocks on the economy will be small. In this paper, we quantify the direct effect on real consumption of (1) unanticipated changes in discretionary income, (2) shifts in precautionary savings,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504244
We compare monetary union to flexible exchange rates in an asymmetric, three-country model with active monetary policy. Unlike Friedman's (1953) case for flexible rates, we find that countries with high degree of nominal wage rigidity are better off in a monetary union. Their benefits increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504261
Large fluctuations in energy prices have been a distinguishing characteristic of the U.S. economy since the 1970s. Turmoil in the Middle East, rising energy prices in the U.S. and evidence of global warming recently have reignited interest in the link between energy prices and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504581
is most useful for forecasting. We show that the asymmetry embodied in commonly used nonlinear transformations of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083435
Although oil price shocks have long been viewed as one of the leading candidates for explaining U.S. recessions, surprisingly little is known about the extent to which oil price shocks explain recessions. We provide the first formal analysis of this question with special attention to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083465
in economic activity, while price responses display no sizeable asymmetry. To rationalize these facts we develop a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084378