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We examine a two country model of the EU and the US. Each has a small sector of the labour and product markets in which there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages and prices with a one quarter information lag. Using a VAR to represent the data, we find the model as a whole...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973965
We evaluate the Smets-Wouters model of the US using indirect inference with a VAR representation of the main US data series. We find that the original New Keynesian SW model is on the margin of acceptance when SW's own estimates of the variances and time-series behaviour of the structural errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008496457
Using Monte Carlo experiments, we examine the performance of indirect inference tests of DSGE models in small samples …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165662
Using Monte Carlo experiments, we examine the performance of Indirect Inference tests of DSGE models, usually versions … (using the Likelihood Ratio), and on the Del Negro-Schorfheide DSGE-VAR weight. We find that the power of all three tests is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084212
Recently, it has been suggested that macroeconomic forecasts from estimated DSGE models tend to be more accurate out …-of-sample than random walk forecasts or Bayesian VAR forecasts. Del Negro and Schorfheide(2013) in particular suggest that the DSGE … Smets and Wouters DSGE model with that of several reduced form time series models. We first demonstrate that none of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083411
active learning possibilities has effects on the optimal interest rate rule followed by the central bank. For a wide range of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791711
. Learning about the transmission process of monetary policy is introduced by having heterogeneous agents - i.e. the central bank …. Here following Evans and Honkapohja (2001), the learning scheme we investigate is that of least-squares learning (recursive … OLS) using the Kalman filter. We find that optimal monetary policy under learning is a policy that separates estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114493
We document the presence of multiple and varied constraints to small and medium firm growth. This presents both a practical problem for business training programs and a challenge to academic economists trying to identify mechanisms though which these programs may affect outcomes. External...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184078
Calvo contracts, which are the basis of the current generation of New Keynesian models, widely include indexation to general inflation. We argue that the indexing formula should be expected inflation rather than lagged inflation. This optimises the welfare of the representative agent in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791311
It has been widely argued that inflation persistence since WWII has been widespread and durable and that it can only be accounted for by models with a high degree of nominal rigidity. We examine UK post-war data where after confirming previous studies’ findings of varying persistence due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792133