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? Can stock return predictability be explained by changes in stock market volatility? How does the mean return per unit risk … change over time? This chapter reviews what is known about the time-series evolution of the risk-return tradeoff for stock … predictor of both the mean and volatility of excess stock market returns. We characterize the risk-return tradeoff as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498159
In a market with short term agents and heterogeneous information, when liquidity trading displays persistence, prices reflect average expectations about fundamentals and liquidity trading. Informed investors exploit a private learning channel to infer the demand of liquidity traders from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008873331
between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler maxmin with multiple priors framework to lenders …, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood … include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737
finance models will lead to over-estimation of the risk of simultaneous extreme events. We provide simple techniques for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788871
We propose new approaches to test for spanning in the return and stochastic discount factor mean-variance frontiers, which assess if either the centred or uncentred mean and cost representing portfolios are shared by the initial and extended sets of assets. We show that our proposed tests are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791800
-step estimators such as continuously updated GMM yield numerically identical values for prices of risk, pricing errors, Jensen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466351
contained in the volatility risk premium and option-implied skewness increases substantially Sharpe ratios and certainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530360
uncertainty. Despite this high aggregate performance, individual investors do not reap the rewards from liquidity provision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096103
This paper investigates the empirical relation between spot and forward implied volatility in foreign exchange. We formulate and test the forward volatility unbiasedness hypothesis, which may be viewed as the volatility analogue to the extensively researched hypothesis of unbiasedness in forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553071
, and who may reclaim some pension surplus. Our model includes an allowance for uncertainty both of the future value of … assets (because of uncertain investment returns) and liabilities (because of uncertainty in future longevity and in future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123770