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flows--over the business cycle and during financial crises. We show that gross capital flows are very large and volatile … investing more abroad during expansions. During crises, especially during severe ones, there is retrenchment, that is, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321838
This paper makes a case that the global imbalances of the 2000s and the recent global financial crisis are intimately connected. Both have their origins in economic policies followed in a number of countries in the 2000s and in distortions that influenced the transmission of these policies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008557008
In the evolving debate and analysis of global imbalances, a commonly overlooked issue pertains to rising protectionism. This paper attempts to fill that gap, examining the macroeconomic implications of trade policy changes through the lens of a dynamic general equilibrium model of the world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789140
In this lecture I document the proliferation of gross international asset and liability positions and discuss some of the consequences for individual countries’ external adjustment processes and for global financial stability. In light of the rapid growth of gross global financial flows and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351522
This paper studies German bank lending during the Asian and Russian crises, using a bank level data set from the … Deutsche Bundesbank. Our aim is to gain more insight into the pattern of German bank lending during financial crises in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504386
This paper analyzes the impact of terms of trade and risk-premium shocks on a small open economy in an intertemporal, Dutch disease model, with international capital mobility. It is shown that when the economy experiences a permanent improvement in the terms of trade, the Dutch disease effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504657
This Paper develops a simple new methodology to test for asset integration and applies it within and between American stock markets. Our technique is tightly based on a general intertemporal asset-pricing model, and relies on estimating and comparing expected risk-free rates across assets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497716
In this paper we test the well-known hypothesis of Obstfeld and Rogoff (2000) that trade costs are the key to explaining the so-called Feldstein-Horioka puzzle. Using a gravity framework in an intertemporal context, we provide strong support for the hypothesis and we reconcile our results with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497776
This paper provides empirical evidence on the adjustment dynamics of the US net foreign liabilities, net output and consumption. We use empirical techniques that allow us to quantify the relative importance of permanent and transitory innovations. We find that transitory shocks contribute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497809
This paper investigates the behaviour of Korean trade flows during the last three decades, and presents estimates of aggregate export and import equations. In particular, it considers different choices for scale and price variables, and assesses the relative merits of these alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497842