Showing 1 - 10 of 364
-specific fiscal shocks. Differences in the cyclicality of fiscal revenues affect the option value of borrowing and resulting default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084395
There is a large and growing literature that studies the effects of weak enforcement institutions on economic performance. This literature has focused almost exclusively on primary markets, in which assets are issued and traded to improve the allocation of investment and consumption. The general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791368
In an environment characterized by weak contractual enforcement, sovereign lenders can enhance the likelihood of repayment by making their claims more difficult to restructure. We show within a simple model how competition for repayment between lenders may result in sovereign debt that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504677
In 2007, countries in the euro periphery were enjoying stable growth, low deficits, and low spreads. Then the Financial crisis erupted and pushed them into deep recessions, raising their deficits and debt levels. By 2010, they were facing severe debt problems. Spreads increased and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084507
We investigate the pricing of ‘Brady’ bonds that are issued by the governments of five developing countries as part of debt and debt service reduction agreements. We first present a measure of credit quality that takes account of the individual features of each bond and is comparable across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114476
We develop a sovereign debt model with official and private creditors where default risk depends on both the level and … presence of long-term debt overhang, the availability of official funds increases the probability of default on existing debt …, although default does not trigger exclusion from private credit markets. These findings help shed light on joint default and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083544
one-period debt and can renege on its obligations by suffering a stochastic default cost. When faced with a credible … default threat, creditors can make a take-it-or-leave-it debt haircut offer to the sovereign. The risk of renegotiation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276380
In a country with high probability of default, higher interest rates may render the currency less attractive if … sovereign default is costly. This paper develops that intuition in a simple model and estimates the effect of changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792385
We shed light on the function, properties and optimal size of austerity using the standard sovereign model augmented to include incomplete information about credit risk. Austerity is defined as the shortfall of consumption from the level desired by a country and supported by its repayment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145392
default induced redistribution and costs due to income losses in the wake of a default. Their choice of short- versus long …-term debt affects default and rollover decisions by subsequent policy makers. The equilibrium maturity structure is shaped by … low, or a cross default more likely. These predictions are consistent with empirical evidence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662299