The volatile data for inflation, output, and interest rates in the United Kingdom prior to the 1990s, and the relative … macroeconomic stability associated with inflation targeting, provide a rich basis for discriminating between rival explanations for … the outbreak of stagflation. We examine alternative hypotheses with a New Keynesian model of aggregate demand and …

central banks to control inflation within their borders, at least in the absence of coordination of policy with other central … the ability of monetary policy to control inflation: by making liquidity premia a function of 'global liquidity' rather … to control the dynamics of inflation. …

at containing inflation and the deviation of output from potential within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools … this loss function under weak assumptions may be estimated from realizations for inflation and output gap data even in the … parameters with respect to the inflation and output objectives during the Greenspan period. We formally test for and reject the …

indicator and forecasting properties of the real interest rate gap for inflation, both in the model and in the data. Our results … suggest that the real interest rate gap has value as an inflation indicator, supporting the ‘neo-Wicksellian framework …

inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …

We investigate both the rational explosive inflation paths studied by McCallum (2001), and the classification of fiscal …

countries with low inflation, the raw relationship between average inflation and the growth rate of money is tenuous at best … elasticities implied by theories of Baumol-Tobin and Miller-Orr. Finally, the sample after 1990 shows considerably less inflation … variability, worsening the fit of a one-for-one relationship between money growth and inflation, and generates a fairly low …

regimes that are nested within this framework: inflation, output-gap growth and nominal income growth targeting; and inflation …

This paper compares the recent evolution of long-run inflation expectations in the euro area and the United States …, using evidence from financial markets and surveys of professional forecasters. Survey data indicate that long-run inflation …’ long-horizon projections of U.S. inflation. Daily data on inflation swaps and nominal-indexed bond spreads - which gauge …