have argued that trade makes war less likely, yet World War I erupted at a time of unprecedented globalization. This paper … develops a theoretical model of the relationship between trade and war which can help to explain both these observations …

This paper analyzes empirically the relationship between civil wars and international trade. We first show that trade … presence of two effects that trade can have on the risk of civil conflicts: it may act as a deterrent if trade gains are put at … risk during civil wars but it may also act as an insurance if international trade provides a substitute to internal trade …

We assess the impact of U.S. trade policy uncertainty (TPU) toward China in a tractable general equilibrium framework … turn reduces trade flows and real income for consumers. We apply the model to analyze China's export boom around its WTO … normal trade relationship status and thus ending the annual threat to revert to Smoot-Hawley tariff levels. We construct a …

This paper fits a gravity model to the trade of 76 market economies. It then applies the model to data on East European … mutual trade and trade with developing countries, but it will increase trade with industrial counties by factors of three to … thirty. West Germany and the USA are the principal beneficiaries of this new trade, increasing their exports and imports by …

trade-oriented states, have come to believe that interregional accords may provide a viable alternative to the WTO, and will …

The Doha multilateral round of trade negotiations sponsored by the WTO has been dragging on for over a decade, with no … end in sight. In this short paper we assess empirically what determines the duration of trade negotiations, focusing on … the span between the start of trade talks and their conclusion. We use data from 88 regional trade agreements between 1988 …

countries. We apply our model of foreign influence to the study of optimal trade policy. We derive a modified formula for the … relative to the influencing country and whenever natural trade barriers between the two countries are small. …

that affect conflict, including measures of trade and democracy. …