Showing 1 - 10 of 142
implications for the nature and formation of preferences. We study the tariff experiment conducted by South Central Bell where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498107
We present a decision theoretic framework with agents that are learning about the behavior of market determined … about equilibrium prices, so that learning about price behavior, as in Adam, Marcet and Nicolini (2008), is fully consistent … with internal rationality. We also show that equilibrium prices depend on expectations of the discounted price and dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577809
We examine strategic information transmission in a controlled laboratory experiment of a cheap talk game with one … communication between the sender and the receiver in a way consistent with the theoretical predictions. Deviations from the … theoretical predictions that we observe tend to disappear with experience, and learning is faster precisely in the games where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784698
Negotiations frequently end in conflict after one party rejects a final offer. In a large-scale internet experiment we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661953
We study the relation between cognitive ability and the decision to invest in stocks using the recent Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE). The survey has detailed data on wealth and portfolio composition of individuals aged 50+ in 11 European countries and three indicators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788981
the ultimate decision is either taken by a leader (decision by authority) or by majority vote. Optimal communication …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792030
The phenomenon of choice shifts in group decision-making is fairly ubiquitous in the social psychology literature. Faced with a choice between a ‘safe’ and ‘risky’ decision, group members appear to move to one extreme or the other, relative to the choices each member might have made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792294
This paper examines the validity of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates by means of a previously unexploited dataset of market expectations that covers a broad range of EMS versus non-EMS foreign currency deposits. Although we find strong evidence in favour of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504713
Evaluation of forecast optimality in economics and finance has almost exclusively been conducted under the assumption of mean squared error loss. Under this loss function optimal forecasts should be unbiased and forecast errors serially uncorrelated at the single-period horizon with increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661998
sizable and short-lived on average; (2) the magnitude of opportunistic cycles decreases with voters' rationality and awareness … (measured by urbanization, computerization, education, and freedom of media); (3) there is a learning curve for voters: cycles … incumbent governors. Our results confirm that maturity of democracy as well as rationality and awareness of the electorate are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662200