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We provide theoretical and empirical evidence that policy uncertainty can significantly affect firm level investment … theory-based measure of policy uncertainty. Our novel approach using observable trade policies allows us to estimate the … and entry decisions in the context of international trade. When market entry costs are sunk, policy uncertainty can create …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083993
This Paper investigates the empirical relationship between uncertainty and investment dynamics. This is motivated by … can be detected as a smaller impact of sales growth on investment for firms facing higher uncertainty. Using a stock … the real options literature, which suggests a weaker response of investment to demand shocks at higher levels of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666662
their growth. Economic theory suggests uncertainty can cause firms to delay investments until uncertainty is resolved. We … that, contrary to what they profess, macroeconomic and political risk is not inhibiting the investment behavior of …Firms in many developing countries cite macroeconomic instability and political uncertainty as major constraints to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084029
between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler maxmin with multiple priors framework to lenders …, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood … include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737
Futures exchanges raise margins in environments characterized by recent substantial increases in futures price volatility, and they raise margins in contracts that have recently shown the largest volatility increase. Volatility then tends to fall. This reduction is smaller - especially the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661491
We analyze a two-player game of strategic experimentation with two-armed bandits. Each player has to decide in continuous time whether to use a safe arm with a known payoff or a risky arm whose likelihood of delivering payoffs is initially unknown. The quality of the risky arms is perfectly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662209
We study a game of strategic experimentation with two-armed bandits where the risky arm distributes lump-sum payoffs according to a Poisson process. Its intensity is either high or low, and unknown to the players. We consider Markov perfect equilibria with beliefs as the state variable. As the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791631
relative to the present is reduced. Hence, due to a rise in terror activity, investment goes down, and in the long run income … and welfare. Next, we show that this theory of terror and the economy helps to understand changes in trend and business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504271
and investment, so it may take some time before an unemployed worker finds a job. Wages are determined by bargaining. A … subsidize entrepreneurial investment (there is a wage bargaining distortion and a search externality), simulations show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504418
fertility, and lower investment in physical and human capital. Furthermore, the feedback effect from economic prosperity to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504520