accounting for important features of bond return models such as time varying parameters and volatility dynamics. A three …

weights, one needs to estimate for each stock its volatility, correlations with all other stocks, and expected return. Our … contained in the volatility risk premium and option-implied skewness increases substantially Sharpe ratios and certainty …

? Can stock return predictability be explained by changes in stock market volatility? How does the mean return per unit risk … predictor of both the mean and volatility of excess stock market returns. We characterize the risk-return tradeoff as the … negatively linked to variation in market volatility, at odds with leading asset pricing models. Since the conditional volatility …

component. We show that both the time series and the term structure of conditional volatility in general is downward sloping and … reputation. Another testable implication is that in price series without a policy reversal, implied volatility from option prices … will exceed actual volatility. Over time, and in the absence of a reversal, this wedge progressively disappears. This may …

-root process. Hyperbolic and quasi-hyperbolic discount factors can significantly increase the volatility of aggregate wealth and …

phenomenon based on trading constraints and asymmetric information. A key feature of our theory is that rational uninformed …