Analyzing a variety of cross-national and sub-national data, we argue that high adult mortality reduces economic growth … by shortening time horizons. Higher adult mortality is associated with increased levels of risky behaviour, higher … better health care implies that mortality could be the source of a poverty trap. In our regressions, adult mortality explains …

survey data, we assess six possible explanations for this upsurge in mortality. Most find little support in the data: the … mortality rates. The two factors that do appear to be important are alcohol consumption, especially as it relates to external …

and space to identify the impact of competition. Using data on mortality as a measure of hospital quality and exploiting …

opening to private provision affected mortality rates – an important and not easily contractible quality dimension – using a … competition significantly improved non-contractible quality as measured by mortality rates. It also reduced the cost per resident …

We propose a new theory of the demographic transition based on the evidence that body development during childhood is …, adult life expectancy and economic growth. Consistent with the empirical evidence, a distinctive implication of our theory …

We examine the relationship between education and mortality in a young population of Italian males. In 1981 several … schooling or lower mortality rates, thus excluding that the main findings reflect direct effects of military service on … subsequent mortality rather than a causal effect of schooling. We conclude that increasing the proportion of high school …

We estimate the causal effect of early retirement on mortality for blue-collar workers. To overcome the problem of … cardiovascular disorders among eligible workers, suggesting that changes in health-related behavior explain increased mortality among …

We provide methods for forecasting variables and predicting turning points in panel Bayesian VARs. We specify a … point and average forecasts are provided. An application to the problem of forecasting the growth rate of output and of … predicting turning points in the G-7 illustrates the approach. A comparison with alternative forecasting methods is also provided. …

reflected in the forecasting capabilities of professional analysts: all in all, analysts are not in a position to beat naïve … environment, we analyse the forecasting behaviour of students experimentally, using a simulated currency series. Our results … indicate that topically-oriented trend adjustment behaviour (TOTA) is a general characteristic of human forecasting behaviour …