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in output and inflation are due to changes in potential output or to cyclical demand and cost shocks. We refer to this … information benchmark. This provides a partial but unified explanation for the inflation of the seventies and the price stability …, during and following periods of large changes in potential output, the IP significantly affects the dynamics of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792291
This Paper estimates a small New-Keynesian model with imperfect information and optimal discretionary policy using data for the euro area. The model is used to assess the usefulness of monetary aggregates and unit labour costs as information variables for monetary policy. The estimates reveal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666627
indicator and forecasting properties of the real interest rate gap for inflation, both in the model and in the data. Our results … suggest that the real interest rate gap has value as an inflation indicator, supporting the ‘neo-Wicksellian framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791944
time’ is important both for the formulation of monetary policy and for the study of inflation behaviour. For the United ….0 to 7.1 percentage points to average UK inflation in the 1970s and 0.7–5.5 percentage points to inflation in the 1980s. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067584
This paper studies the transmission of shocks and the trade-offs between stabilizing CPI inflation and alternative … policy, and second, that the trade-off between stabilizing CPI inflation and the output gap strongly depends on which concept …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123730
Not in an estimated DSGE model of the US economy, once we account for the fact that most of the high-frequency volatility in wages appears to be due to noise, rather than to variation in workers' preferences or market power.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643501
We study the determination of Irish inflation between 1935 and 2012 using a Phillips curve approach. We find that a … of diagnostic tests. We also consider the importance of UK and euro area inflation for Irish inflation. While UK … inflation is significant in the period 1935 – 1979, and euro area inflation is significant in the period 1980 – 2012, we present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083710
expected means of future interest rates, exchange rates and inflation. More recently, these methods have been refined to rely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504605
This paper has three parts. Part 1 constructs a classical economic model of inflation, augmented by a complete set of … core monetary model explains the history of inflation after WWII and Part 3 provides evidence to show that the … unconventional monetary policy, followed in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, was effective in stabilizing inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083250
issue only nominal non-contingent bonds we examine the implications for optimal inflation of changes in the level and … given. We identify the main mechanisms through which inflation is affected by debt and debt maturity (a real balance effect … monetary and fiscal policy we find that the persistence and volatility of inflation depends on the sign, size and maturity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083281