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Following the Asian financial crisis in 1997-98, a number of Asian central banks adopted inflation targeting. We … explore how successful this framework has been by looking at the persistence of inflation, as measured by the sum of the … coefficients in an autoregressive model for inflation, using a median unbiased estimator and bootstrapped confidence bands. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008684680
institutions. Such an arrangement is inferior to an optimal inflation targeting, or a Rogoff-style central banker, whose optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789083
macroeconomic behaviour. Inflation targeting is compared to the welfare maximizing monetary rule and to a fixed nominal exchange … rate. It is found that flexible inflation targeting produces too little exchange rate volatility compared to the optimal … rule but delivers higher welfare than a fixed nominal exchange rate. Strict inflation targeting also delivers higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791982
One test of an exchange-rate peg is to ask whether the implicit inflation target of the pegging country is the same as … that of the anchor country. If the inflation targets of the two countries are different, the peg's long-run credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498050
Korea has adopted much of the apparatus of inflation targeting, with a band for target inflation and a Monetary Policy … trade and investment as Korea, currency movements contain information useful for forecasting inflation and the output gap … information relevant for the inflation forecast. In addition, the central bank responds to movements in the exchange rate for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136674
Inflation-targeting central banks have only imperfect knowledge about the effect of policy decisions on inflation. An … important source of uncertainty is the relationship between inflation and unemployment. This Paper studies the optimal monetary … policy in the presence of uncertainty about the natural unemployment rate, the short-run inflation-unemployment trade-off and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067479
Most central banks perceive a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and stabilizing the gap between output and … inflation is equivalent to stabilizing the welfare-relevant output gap. In this paper, we argue that this property of the new … trade-off between stabilizing inflation and stabilizing the welfare-relevant output gap. We show that not only does the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067562
disinflation under inflation targeting policies. The analysis is motivated by the disinflation performance of many inflation … episode price-setting firms' expect inflation to be highly persistent and opt for backward-looking indexation. As the central … bank acts to bring inflation under control, price-setting firms revise their estimates of the degree of persistence. Such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114241
United States during the 1990s. Proponents of this approach recommend that, when inflation is moderate but still above the … long-run objective, the central bank should not move immediately to fight inflation, but rather wait for exogenous … circumstances — such as favourable supply shocks and unforeseen recessions — to deliver the desired reduction in inflation. While …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123544
Several recent studies imply that the response of national saving to fiscal policy is non-monotonic. In this paper, we use two data sets to search for the circumstances in which such non-monotonic responses arise: one refers to a sample of OECD countries, as in previous studies, and one to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124252