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Time-Varying Market Integration and Expected Returns in Emerging Markets

de Jong, Frank; de Roon, Frans - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2001

We use a simple model in which the expected returns in emerging markets depend on their systematic risk as measured by their beta relative to the world portfolio as well as on the level of integration in that market. The level of integration is a time-varying variable that depends on the market...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123688

Basic Principles Of Asset Pricing Theory: Evidence From Large-Scale Experimental Financial Markets

Bossaerts, Peter; Plott, Charles - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2000

-markets model, and the Sharpe-Lintner-Mossin Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). This framework enabled us to measure how far our … discovered swift convergence towards equilibrium prices of Arrow and Debreu's model or the CAPM. This discovery is significant … walk, in favour of stochastic convergence towards CAPM and Arrow-Debreu equilibrium. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662411

Elasticity Optimism

Imbs, Jean; Mejean, Isabelle - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009

Estimates of the elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign varieties are small in macroeconomic data, and substantially larger in disaggregated studies. This may be an artifact of heterogeneity. We use disaggregated multilateral trade data to structurally identify elasticities of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123775

Getting Better or Feeling Better? How Equity Investors Respond to Investment Experience

Campbell, John Y; Ramadorai, Tarun; Ranish, Benjamin - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014

Using a large representative sample of Indian retail equity investors, many of them new to the stock market, we show that both years of investment experience and feedback from investment returns have significant effects on investor behavior, favored stock styles, and performance. We identify two...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084250

Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices

Nickell, Stephen; Wadhwani, Sushil B - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1987

The view that the stock market is myopic is commonly expressed in the financial press. However, the existing econometric evidence does not support this view. In this paper, we report econometric evidence suggesting that the market attaches too high a weight to current dividends relative to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497792

Non-Parametric Estimates of the Foreign Exchange and Equity Risk Premia and Tests of Market Efficiency

Thomas, Stephen H; Wickens, Michael R. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1989

It is widely thought that neither the foreign exchange markets nor equity markets are efficient, in the sense that tests of the unbiasedness hypothesis and of the present value relationship, respectively, typically lead to rejection. Interest has therefore turned to whether a risk premium...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497800

The Stock Market Crash Really Did Cause the Great Recession

Farmer, Roger E A - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

This note shows that a big stock market crash, in the absence of central bank intervention, will be followed by a major recession one to four quarters later. I establish this fact by studying the forecasting ability of three models of the unemployment rate. I show that the connection between...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083701

The Wealth-Consumption Ratio

Lustig, Hanno; van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn; Verdelhan, Adrien - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

We derive new estimates of total wealth, the returns on total wealth, and the wealth effect on consumption. We estimate the prices of aggregate risk from bond yields and stock returns using a no-arbitrage model. Using these risk prices, we compute total wealth as the price of a claim to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083953

Local Bias and Stock Market Conditions

Giannetti, Mariassunta; Laeven, Luc - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

We show that the local bias in U.S. mutual fund portfolios varies significantly over time and is more pronounced at times of heightened market uncertainty, such as during financial crises. Similarly, the local bias is less pronounced in periods when market sentiment is strong. These results do...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084583

Measuring Co-Movements Between US and European Stock Markets

Bonfiglioli, Alessandra; Favero, Carlo A. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2000

In this paper we concentrate on the potential consequences for the European stock market of a correction of the US stock market. We conduct our analysis by explicitly considering the distinction between interdependence and contagion. By considering a Vector Error Correction Model, in which stock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067572