Showing 1 - 10 of 86
component. We show that both the time series and the term structure of conditional volatility in general is downward sloping and … reputation. Another testable implication is that in price series without a policy reversal, implied volatility from option prices … will exceed actual volatility. Over time, and in the absence of a reversal, this wedge progressively disappears. This may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656360
Countries with strong executive constraints have lower growth volatility but similar average growth to those with weak … constraints. This paper argues that this may explain a strong reduced-form correlation between executive constraints and inflows … in inflows when strong executive constraints are adopted in terms of the reduction in the volatility in productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145416
volatility. This paper focuses on extreme correlation, that is to say the correlation between returns in either the negative or … not for the positive tail. We also find that correlation is not related to market volatility per se but to the market …Testing the hypothesis that international equity market correlation increases in volatile times is a difficult exercise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504611
We examine whether Brazilian sovereign spreads of over 20% in 2002 could be due to contagion from Argentina or to domestic politics, or both. Treating unilateral debt restructuring as a policy variable gives rise to the possibility of self-fulfilling crisis, which can be triggered by contagion....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497989
This paper investigates how multinational firms choose the capital structure of their foreign affiliates in response to political risk. We focus on two choice variables, the leverage and the ownership structure of the foreign affiliate, and we distinguish different types of political risk, such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067659
Political risk is widely present in developing but also in developed countries, and stems from a variety of sources. The objective of this paper is twofold. First, we develop a theoretical model to investigate the impact of political risk on irreversible investment. Second, we apply our model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114366
The aim of this paper is to compare various methods which extract a Risk Neutral Density (RND) out of PIBOR, as well as of Notional interest rate futures options, and to investigate how traders react to a political event. We first focus on five dates surrounding the 1997 snap election and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124441
We propose a new, valuation-based measure of world equity market segmentation. While we observe decreased levels of segmentation in many developing countries, the level of segmentation is still significant. In contrast to previous research, we characterize the factors that account for variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784702
We analyse politically motivated privatization design in a bipartisan environment where politicians lack commitment power. Suppose the median class voters a priori favour redistributive policies. If the privatization programme succeeds in allocating enough shares to these citizens, they become...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661730
This paper investigates whether privatization in emerging economies has a significant indirect effect on local stock market development through the resolution of political risk. We argue that a sustained privatization program represents a major political test which gradually resolves uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662345