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international portfolio investments, such as relative market liquidity and relative risk characteristics of assets, are also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123910
An important question in international finance is to what extent stock return volatility is influenced by country location, industry affiliation, and global factors. This Paper develops a new methodology to measure these effects, in which portfolios mimicking ‘pure’ country and industry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067673
in both developed and emerging markets, measured against a variety of returns and risk-adjusted performance metrics. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083254
Notwithstanding a resurgence in research on out-of-sample forecasts of the price of oil in recent years, there is one important approach to forecasting the real price of oil which has not been studied systematically to date. This approach is based on the premise that demand for crude oil derives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083532
on combining the cross-section of asset prices with time-series measures of economic and political risk. We employ this … strategy on large databases of historical housing transactions in London, and show that economic and political risk in Southern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084288
Based on a two-country, two-period general equilibrium model of the spot and futures markets for crude oil, we show that there is no theoretical support for the common view that oil futures prices are good predictors of the spot price in the mean-squared error sense; yet under certain conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792183
use of model averaging techniques as a way of dealing with the risk of inadvertently using false models in portfolio … management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067642
Recent financial research has provided evidence on the predictability of asset returns. In this Paper we consider the results contained in Pesaran-Timmerman (1995), which provided evidence on predictability of excess returns in the US stock market over the sample 1959-92. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661774
across countries leading to systemic risk .In this Paper, we evaluate whether systemic risk reduces substantially the gains … that, while systemic risk affects the allocation of wealth between the riskless and risky assets, it has a small effect on … international diversification – for an investor with a relative risk aversion of 3 and a horizon of one year, the certainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504252
Diversification opportunities in Euroland appear to have improved significantly since the advent of the euro, thus invalidating the prospects identified in the last years of the convergence-to-EMU period. We identify low frequency movements in the time series of return dispersions suggestive of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504636