at containing inflation and the deviation of output from potential within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools … this loss function under weak assumptions may be estimated from realizations for inflation and output gap data even in the … parameters with respect to the inflation and output objectives during the Greenspan period. We formally test for and reject the …

inflation and the difficulties of East European central banks in pursuing non-inflationary policies. The main obstacles are the …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …

Inflation targeting central banks will be hampered without good models to assist them to be forward-looking. Many … current inflation models fail to forecast turning points adequately, because they miss key underlying long-run influences. The … world is on the cusp of a dramatic turning point in inflation. If inflation falls rapidly, such models can underestimate the …

Private Sector in order to assist the MPC achieve its objectives? We show that this is not true for symmetric inflation … targeting, where ‘cheap talk’ selects the Pareto dominant equilibrium. (This contrasts with the case where high inflation is … penalised, but not below target inflation). …

private sector inflation forecasts. But beyond the optimum people might: (1) start to attach too much weight to the … deteriorates the (perceived) quality of private sector inflation forecasts. Inflation then is set in a more backward looking manner … resulting in higher inflation persistence. By using a panel data set on the transparency of 100 central banks we find empirical …