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to learn about the future affects their consumption-savings decision. The equity premium falls and the risk-free interest …, the correlation between consumption and investment growth is 0.29 when households have no information about the future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083546
This paper provides evidence for a causal effect of equity prices on corporate investment and employment. We use fire … whose stocks are most underpriced have considerably lower investment and employment than industry peers not subject to any … fire sale discount. The causal effect of underpricing on investment is found to be largely concentrated on the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084351
This paper measures the returns to investing in violins using two different datasets. One dataset includes 75 observations on repeat sales of the same violins at auction starting in the mid-19th century and another dataset includes over 2000 observations on individual violin sales at auction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661782
choice problem concerns the investment of an amount of money in a safe option and a risky option when there is a 'global risk … risk can reduce the amount invested in the risky option. This result cannot be explained by classical Expected Utility or … by its main contenders Rank-Dependent Utility and Cumulative Prospect Theory. An explanation is offered by taking account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791308
premium of stocks depends on both systematic and idiosyncratic volatility, and that the equity risk premium is significantly … implications for trading behavior: in response to a change in idiosyncratic volatility, the Keynesian portfolio always exhibits … more trading than the Markowitz portfolio, while the opposite is true for a change in systematic volatility. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468537
We use portfolio theory to quantify the efficiency of state-level sectoral patterns of production in the United States … volatility of state output growth, rather than in its average. The realized industry shares of output also converge faster to … manner that depends crucially on the variance-covariance properties of investment returns, rather than on their average only. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504526
We use portfolio theory to quantify the efficiency of state-level sectoral patterns of production in the United States … primarily from convergence in the volatility of state output growth, rather than in its average. The realized industry shares of …, in a manner that depends crucially on the variance-covariance properties of investment returns, rather than on their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662195
phenomenon based on trading constraints and asymmetric information. A key feature of our theory is that rational uninformed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666589
and volatility in contrast to the exogenously assumed constant mean and volatility in many credit risk models. We consider … attenuated (amplified) market volatility and risk premium, but the market value is always higher in economic downturns, and lower …, borrowers take on less risk exposure than non-borrowers. A larger risk exposure by borrowers may occur as well, however …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788927
forward premia on monthly exchange rate returns in a framework that allows for volatility timing. We implement Bayesian … of the empirical models, and find two key results: (i) a risk averse investor will pay a high performance fee to switch … stochastic volatility innovations; and (ii) strategies based on combined forecasts yield large economic gains over the random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123849