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the shocks to the overall volatility, and the welfare implications of regime changes in general equilibrium models. Then … suitable for structural estimation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083330
, suggesting that this approach delivers sharper inference compared to the estimation of the linearised model. We also show that … initial conditions selected within our estimation sample. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067383
In this paper we estimate a New-Keynesian DSGE model with heterogeneity in price and wage setting behavior. In a recent study, Coibion and Gorodnichenko (2011) develop a DSGE model, in which firms follow four different types of price setting schemes: sticky prices, sticky information, rule of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011249376
Using Bayesian methods, we estimate a nonlinear DSGE model in which the interest-rate lower bound is occasionally binding. We quantify the size and nature of disturbances that pushed the U.S. economy to the lower bound in late 2008 as well as the contribution of the lower bound constraint to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084119
This paper introduces a new indicator of core inflation for New Zealand, estimated using a dynamic factor model and disaggregate consumer price data. Using disaggregate consumer price data we can directly compare the predictive performance of our core indicator with a wide range of other ‘core...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656226
Inflation is a far from homogeneous phenomenon, a fact often neglected in modelling consumer price inflation. This study, the first of its kind for an emerging market country, investigates gains to inflation forecast accuracy by aggregating weighted forecasts of the sub-component price indices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553067
We estimate impulse responses of sectoral price indexes to aggregate shocks and to sector-specific shocks. In the median sector, 100 percent of the long-run response of the sectoral price index to a sector-specific shock occurs in the month of the shock. The standard Calvo model and the standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034762
stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. We consider the estimation of linearized DSGE models, the evaluation of models … estimation of second-order accurate solutions of DSGE models. These methods are applied to data generated from a linearized DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498080
the richly parameterized unrestricted model towards a parsimonious naïve benchmark, and thus reduce estimation uncertainty …-of-sample forecasting, and accuracy in the estimation of impulse response functions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083403
moments of the outcome and develop Gibbs sampling methods for Bayesian estimation in the presence of stochastic volatility … conditional volatility generate more accurate forecasts than conventional benchmarks. Finally, we find that forecast combination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083475