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Motivated the European debt crisis, we construct a tractable theory of sovereign debt and structural reforms under limited commitment. The government of a sovereign country which has fallen into a recession of an uncertain duration issues one-period debt and can renege on its obligations by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276380
The current account has always been a neglected variable in the management of the Euro area and in the assessment of … deficits. It then examines some peculiar features of the growth experience under monetary union in four Euro area countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642891
his option contingent on the prior declaration of a state of 'disorderly markets', by the national central bank, the … Bank. The UDROP proposal is rule based and general: it is mandatory for all foreign-currency debt and automatic. That is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661683
This paper studies sharp reductions in current account deficits and large exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. It finds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662126
conversion rates between the euro and the currencies of EMU members states. Current EU legislation, notably the Maastricht Treaty … prices of EMU member currencies against the euro. Unfortunately, most of these have potentially damaging side effects. One … approach, based on official Stage 2 offers of contingent euro forward contracts with value dates at the start of Stage 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789076
, the euro and the Chinese renminbi (RMB). It focuses on what we call China’s" dominance hypothesis", i.e. whether the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371469
This paper compares the behavior of Euro-Area (EA) banks’ credit and reserves with those of US banks following … respective major crisis triggers (Lehman’s collapse in the US and the 2009 admission by Papandreou, that Greece’s deficit was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096105
OECD countries, as in previous studies, and one to a sample of developing countries, using recent World Bank data. We find … predictor of non-monotonic effects. Using the World Bank data, the situations in which the non-monotonic response of national …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124252
We examine the effects of endogenously determined realignment expectations in a model of a target zone with sluggish price adjustment. We allow these expectations to be based on a policy rule which attaches differing weights to output and price stability. We find that for realistic parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504430
This Paper proposes a new framework for interpreting a currency crisis associated with a fiscal imbalance, which we find appropriate for the analysis of contemporary economies with outstanding public debt. Unlike the first-generation literature on speculative attacks, we do not assume that money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662337