We provide the first direct empirical support for the relevance of signalling in monetary policy. In our dynamic model …. Signalling leads all bankers to be tougher on inflation initially, but to become less tough with experience. This evolution is … structurally estimate the model using Bank of England data and confirm both predictions. Signalling increases the probability new …

types to voters. We identify two novel implications of models in which signalling incentives are important. First, because …. Second, voters can exploit the signalling behavior of politicians by precommitting to a higher threshold for signals received …. Raising the threshold discourages signalling effort by low quality politicians but encourages effort by high quality …