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The results of this paper complement the recent findings of real exchange rates as stationary processes. The standard procedure of applying a battery of unit root tests can be problematic since the tests are sensitive to the specifics of the time-series process. The novelty of the approach we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504540
The half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) plays a central role in the ongoing debate about the ability of macroeconomic models to account for the time series behaviour of the real exchange rate. The main contribution of this paper is a general framework in which alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792458
. Theory consistent with dollar appreciation in the crisis suggests that their impact should be greater for countries that have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293988
Tests of the null hypothesis of stationarity against the unit root alternative play an increasingly important role in empirical work in macroeconomics and in international finance. We show that the use of conventional asymptotic critical values for stationarity tests may cause extreme size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656394
There has been serious suspicion of a spurious rejection of the unit roots in panel studies of PPP due to the failure to control for cross-sectional dependence. This article presents evidence of mean-reversion in industrial country real exchange rates in a set up that accounts naturally for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661753
The drift-adjustment method estimates the expected rate of depreciation within an exchange rate band by simple equations. Papers applying this method claim that, while forecasting a freely floating currency is hopeless, predicting an exchange rate within the future band is successful. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791773
-up". The weekly escudo-DMark rate reveals widely different volatility states which were accompanied by six successive exchange … comparison excludes the subperiod of crises before widening the bands and the one after volatility in prospective EMU qualifying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123635
The purpose in this letter is first to review briefly the empirical results on the relationship between real interest rates and real exchange rates; this empirical literature provides little support for the hypothesis of Roll that expected real interest rates are equal in general. Our second aim...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124145
This paper investigates whether oil prices have a reliable and stable out-of-sample relationship with the Canadian/U.S dollar nominal exchange rate. Despite state-of-the-art methodologies, we find little systematic relation between oil prices and the exchange rate at the monthly and quarterly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359490
This paper provides evidence of heterogeneous treatment effects on trade from switching among three types of de-facto exchange rate regimes: freely floating, currency bands, and pegs or currency unions. A cottage literature at the interface of macroeconomics and international economics focuses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365643