Showing 1 - 10 of 182
In this paper we use unit roots/cointegration analysis and time-varying parameters procedures to test for a common growth path in the ex-communist block, both pre- and post-reform. We test whether there has been convergence within the block and between the block as a group and the West....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123521
We provide methods for forecasting variables and predicting turning points in panel Bayesian VARs. We specify a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504253
This paper analyses the empirical interdependence of asset returns, real activity and inflation from a multicountry and international point of view. We find that nominal stock returns are significantly related to inflation only in the United States, that the US term structure of interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504379
A model of profits switches between four regimes with fixed probabilities; the rationally expected profits stream implies the stock market value. This efficient market model is not rejected by UK post-war time-series behaviour of either profits or the FTSE index.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504613
We use available methods for testing macro models to evaluate a model of China over the period from Deng Xiaoping's reforms up until the crisis period. Bayesian ranking methods are heavily influenced by controversial priors on the degree of price/wage rigidity. When the overall models are tested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083573
estimation for DSGE models approximated up to third-order and provides the foundation for indirect inference and SMM when … simulation is required. We illustrate the usefulness of our approach by estimating a New Keynesian model with habits and Epstein …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083616
of data on S&P500 index options, we find that, in line with theory, risk-averse investors demand risk-compensation for … aversion, we show that in line with theory, the relationship only holds when risk aversion is high. In periods of low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084225
We use available methods for testing macro models to evaluate a model of China over the period from Deng Xiaoping's reforms up until the crisis period. Bayesian ranking methods are heavily influenced by controversial priors on the degree of price/wage rigidity. When the overall models are tested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084701
We estimate a dynamic profit-maximization model of a fish wholesaler who can observe consumer characteristics, set individual prices, and thus engage in third-degree price discrimination. Simulated prices and quantities from the model exhibit the key features observed in a set of high quality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036234
, suggesting that this approach delivers sharper inference compared to the estimation of the linearised model. We also show that … initial conditions selected within our estimation sample. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067383